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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2025

Interannual variability of upper ocean temperature in the tropical Atlantic: an ocean reanalysis intercomparison

Climate Dynamics (2025)

Arthur Prigent | Ingo Richter | Andrea Storto | Riccardo Farneti | Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Yuko M. Okumura | Ping Chang

Journal article

2025

Application of High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Simulations for Crop Yield Estimation in Southern Brazil

Agriengineering (2025)

Cuadra, S.V. | de Oliveira, M.P.G. | Victoria, D.D.C. | Bender, F.D. | Bettolli, M.L. | Solman, S. | da Rocha, R.P. | Fernández, J. | Milovac, J. | Coppola, E. | Doyle, M.

Journal article

2025

High-Resolution Deep-Learning and Dynamical Climate Downscaling for Impact Modeling in Southeast South America

Earth Systems and Environment (2025)

Bettolli, M.L. | da Rocha, R.P. | Milovac, J. | Fernandez, J. | Balmaceda-Huarte, R. | Baño-Medina, J. | Blázquez, J. | Carneiro Rodrigues, D. | Chou, S.C. | Coppola, E. | da Silva, M.L. | Doyle, M. | Gutiérrez Llorente, J.M. ...

Journal article

2025

Projected evolution of the Urban climate and heatwaves using an ensemble of convection-permitting regional climate models

Climatic Change (2025)

Michau, Y. | Lemonsu, A. | Lucas-Picher, P. | Bastin, S. | Caillaud, C. | de Vries, H. | Adinolfi, M. | Raffa, M. | Katragkou, E. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2025

The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Climatic Change (2025)

K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao | M. Garrido Zornoza ...

Journal article

2025

Aedes albopictus is rapidly invading its climatic niche in France: wider implications for biting nuisance and arbovirus control in Western Europe (Radici et al., 2025)

Zenodo (2025)

Andrea Radici | Pachka Hammami | Arnaud Cannet | Grégory L'Ambert | Guillaume Lacour | florence fournet | claire garros | Helene Guis | didier FONTENILLE | Cyril Caminade

Journal article

2025

Record Warmth and Unprecedented Drop in Equatorial Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures in 2024

Geophysical Research Letters (2025)

Franz Philip Tuchen | Gregory R. Foltz | Sang‐Ki Lee | Renellys C. Perez | Arthur Prigent | Peter Brandt | Michael J. McPhaden | Hosmay Lopez | Dongmin Kim | Robert West

Journal article

2025

Climate change and malaria control: a call to urgent action from Africa’s frontlines

Malaria Journal (2025)

Cyril Caminade | Diego Ayala | Thibaud de Chevigny | Olivia Ngou | André Tchouatieu | Florian Girond | Gildas A. Yahouedo | Corinne S. Merle | Emilie Pothin | Ibrahima Diouf | Emmanuel Hakizimana | Veronica Noseda | Jane L. Deuve ...

Journal article

2025

The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP)

Geoscientific Model Development (2025)

Richter, I. | Chang, P. | Chiu, P.-G. | Danabasoglu, G. | Doi, T. | Dommenget, D. | Gastineau, G. | Gillett, Z.E. | Hu, A. | Kataoka, T. | Keenlyside, N.S. | Kucharski, F. | Okumura, Y.M. | Park, W. | Stuecker, M.F. ...

Journal article

2025

Editorial: One Health approaches and modeling in parasitology in the climate change framework and possible supporting tools adopting GIS and remote sensing

Frontiers in Parasitology (2025)

Tommaso Orusa | Annalisa Viani | Silvio G. d’Alessio | Riccardo Orusa | Cyril Caminade

Journal article

2025

Sensitivity of Self‐Aggregation and the Key Role of the Free Convection Distance

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2025)

A. Casallas | A. M. Tompkins | C. Muller | G. Thompson

Journal article

2025

Drivers of mesoscale convective aggregation and spatial humidity variability in the tropical western Pacific

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025)

Adrian Mark Tompkins | Alejandro Casallas | Michie Vianca De Vera

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All publications

Journal article

2018

Interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies teleconnection to Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in November

Climate Dynamics (2018)

King, M.P. | Herceg-Bulić, I. | Kucharski, F. | Keenlyside, N.

Journal article

2018

Climate model shows large-scale wind and solar farms in the Sahara increase rain and vegetation

Science (2018)

Li, Y. | Kalnay, E. | Motesharrei, S. | Rivas, J. | Kucharski, F. | Kirk-Davidoff, D. | Bach, E. | Zeng, N.

Journal article

2018

Modulation of the meridional structures of the Indo-Pacific Warm pool on the response of the Hadley Circulation to Tropical SST

Journal of Climate (2018)

Feng, J. | Li, J. | Kucharski, F. | Wang, Y. | Sun, C. | Xie, F. | Yang, Y.

Journal article

2018

Mountain wave turbulence in the presence of directional wind shear over the Rocky Mountains

Guarino, Maria Vittoria | Teixeira, Miguel A. C. | Keller, Teddie L. | Sharman, Robert D.

Journal article

2018

Predicting the distribution of Phortica variegata and potential for Thelazia callipaeda transmission in Europe and the United Kingdom

Parasites & Vectors (2018)

Jennifer Palfreyman | John Graham-Brown | Cyril Caminade | Paul Gilmore | Domenico Otranto | Diana J. L. Williams

Journal article

2018

Mosquito-Borne Diseases: Advances in Modelling Climate-Change Impacts

Trends in Parasitology (2018)

Tjaden, N.B. | Caminade, C. | Beierkuhnlein, C. | Thomas, S.M.

Book chapter

2018

Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Lowe, R. | Nissan, H. | Martiny, N. | Roucou, P. | Thomson, M.C. | Nakazawa, T.

Journal article

2018

The Numerics of Physical Parametrization in the ECMWF Model

Frontiers in Earth Science (2018)

Beljaars, A. | Balsamo, G. | Bechtold, P. | Bozzo, A. | Forbes, R. | Hogan, R.J. | Köhler, M. | Morcrette, J.-J. | Tompkins, A.M. | Viterbo, P. | Wedi, N.

Journal article

2018

Uncertainty in malaria simulations in the highlands of Kenya: Relative contributions of model parameter setting, driving climate and initial condition errors

PLoS ONE (2018)

Tompkins, A.M. | Thomson, M.C.

Journal article

2017

Influence of tropical South Atlantic sea‐surface temperatures on the Indian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

Fred Kucharski | Manish K. Joshi

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of AGCM‐simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes

International Journal of Climatology (2017)

Muhammad Azhar Ehsan | Mansour Almazroui | Ahmed Yousef | O'Brien Enda | Michael K. Tippett | Fred Kucharski | Abdulrahman A. Alkhalaf

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to resolution, convection scheme and ocean flux parameterization over Eastern Tropical Pacific and Tropical North Atlantic Oceans in the RegCM4 model

Climate Dynamics (2017)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Zimmermann, K.

Journal article

2017

Interannual Variability of the Indian Monsoon and Its Link to ENSO

Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science (2017)

Kucharski, Fred | Abid, M. Adnan

Journal article

2017

Saudi-KAU Coupled Global Climate Model: Description and Performance

Earth Systems and Environment (2017)

Almazroui, M. | Tayeb, O. | Mashat, A.S. | Yousef, A. | Al-Turki, Y.A. | Abid, M.A. | Bafail, A.O. | Ehsan, M.A. | Zahed, A. | Rahman, M.A. | Mohorji, A.M. | Kang, I.-S. | Noaman, A. | Omar, M. | Al-roqi, A.M. | Ammar, K. ...

Journal article

2017

Sensitivity of AGCM-simulated regional JJAS precipitation to different convective parameterization schemes

International Journal of Climatology (2017)

Muhammad Azhar Ehsan | Mansour Almazroui | Ahmed Yousef | O'Brien Enda | Michael K. Tippett | Fred Kucharski | Abdulrahman A. Alkhalaf

Journal article

2017

Skill and predictability in multimodel ensemble forecasts for Northern Hemisphere regions with dominant winter precipitation

Climate Dynamics (2017)

Ehsan, M.A. | Tippett, M.K. | Almazroui, M. | Ismail, M. | Yousef, A. | Kucharski, F. | Omar, M. | Hussein, M. | Alkhalaf, A.A.

Journal article

2017

Influence of tropical South Atlantic sea-surface temperatures on the Indian summer monsoon in CMIP5 models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

Fred Kucharski | Manish K. Joshi

Journal article

2017

Study of the global and regional climatic impacts of ENSO magnitude using SPEEDY AGCM

Journal of Earth System Science (2017)

Dogar, M.M. | Kucharski, F. | Azharuddin, S.

Journal article

2017

Impact of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Indian summer monsoon rainfall: an assessment from CMIP5 climate models

Climate Dynamics (2017)

Joshi, M.K. | Kucharski, F.

Journal article

2017

The transient atmospheric response to a reduction of sea‐ice cover in the Barents and Kara Seas

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2017)

P. Ruggieri | F. Kucharski | R. Buizza | M. H. P. Ambaum

Journal article

2017

Western tropical Pacific multidecadal variability forced by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

Nature Communications (2017)

Sun, C. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Jin, F.-F. | Kang, I.-S. | Ding, R.

Journal article

2017

Multidecadal Changes in the Relationship of Storm Frequency over Euro-Mediterranean Region and ENSO During Boreal Winter

Earth Systems and Environment (2017)

Kamil, S. | Almazroui, M. | Kucharski, F. | Kang, I.-S.

Journal article

2017

Modulation of air‐sea fluxes by extratropical planetary waves and its impact during the recent surface warming slowdown

Geophysical Research Letters (2017)

Franco Molteni | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Timothy N. Stockdale

Journal article

2017

Wintertime ENSO influence on late spring European climate: the stratospheric response and the role of North Atlantic SST

International Journal of Climatology (2017)

Herceg-Bulić, I. | Mezzina, B. | Kucharski, F. | Ruggieri, P. | King, M.P.

Journal article

2017

Oceanic response to changes in the WAIS and astronomical forcing during the MIS31 superinterglacial

Climate of the Past (2017)

Flavio Justino | Douglas Lindemann | Fred Kucharski | Aaron Wilson | David Bromwich | Frode Stordal

Journal article

2017

Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015.

Caminade C | Turner J | Metelmann S | Hesson JC | Blagrove MS | Solomon T | Morse AP | Baylis M

Journal article

2017

Comparison of Malaria Simulations Driven by Meteorological Observations and Reanalysis Products in Senegal

International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (2017)

Ibrahima Diouf | Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca | Abdoulaye Deme | Cyril Caminade | Andrew Morse | Moustapha Cisse | Ibrahima Sy | Ibrahima Dia | Volker Ermert | Jacques-André Ndione | Amadou Gaye

Journal article

2017

The role of climate change in a developing threat: The case of bluetonque in Europe

OIE Revue Scientifique et Technique (2017)

Baylis, M. | Caminade, C. | Turner, J. | Jones, A.E.

Journal article

2017

Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters

Emerging Microbes & Infections (2017)

Srinivasa Rao Mutheneni | Andrew P Morse | Cyril Caminade | Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula

Journal article

2017

Co-occurrence of viruses and mosquitoes at the vectors’ optimal climate range: An underestimated risk to temperate regions?

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2017)

Marcus S. C. Blagrove | Cyril Caminade | Elisabeth Waldmann | Elizabeth R. Sutton | Maya Wardeh | Matthew Baylis | Christopher M. Barker

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