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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
Equatorward shift of marine heatwaves centroids in the Atlantic Ocean
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnection of the Winter Atlantic Nino in a Climate Model
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
A Long-Term Shift in Flow Regimes over the Antarctic Peninsula
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Aedes albopictus and Dengue Transmission Risk in France Over the 21st Century
Global Change Biology (2026)
Andrea Radici | Pachka Hammami | Florence Fournet | Didier Fontenille | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2026
Climate mitigation and adaptation strategies tailored for different types of European cities: a typology and associated systematic review
Environmental Research Letters (2026)
Mira Kopp | Simon Montfort | Géraldine Pflieger | Natascha Wagner | Olexiy Kyrychenko | Rita Nogherotto | Alona Zharova | Alexander Baklanov | Sorin Cheval | Abhishek Nair | Giulia Ulpiani | Tilda Aue | Felix Creutzig
Journal article
2026
Roles of central and eastern Atlantic Niño in the interannual variability of Indian summer monsoon
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Assessment of Convection-Permitting Simulations in Representing the Urban-Rural Contrasts over Selected Cities in South America
Earth Systems and Environment (2026)
Silvina A. Solman | Yaiza Quintana | Josipa Milovac | Javier Diez-Sierra | Jesus Fernández | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha | Erika Coppola | Josefina Blázquez | Francesca Raffaelle | Sin Chan Chou | Daniela Carneiro Rodrigues ...
Journal article
2026
两类大西洋尼诺对印度夏季风年际变率的影响
SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae (2026)
娅琪 靳 | 磊 张 | Fred KUCHARSKI
Journal article
2026
Modelling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologists
Acta Tropica (2026)
Federico Romiti | Sarah Droghei | Dominic Brass | Cyril Caminade | Giovanni Marini | Bethan Purse | Kamil Erguler | Alessandro Albieri | Paola Angelini | Margo Blaha | Olivier Briet | Mattia Calzolari | Marco Carrieri ...
Journal article
2026
Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes
Geophysical Research Letters (2026)
Giovanni Biagioli | Giulio Mandorli | Lilli Johanna Freischem | Alejandro Casallas | Adrian Mark Tompkins
Journal article
2026
Climate change and malaria control in Africa: country experiences and strategic responses
Malaria Journal (2026)
Anankpo Gildas Yahouedo | Corinne S. Merle | Ibrahima Diallo | Médoune Ndiop | Andrew Muhire | Clarisse Mukashema | Alphonse Mutabazi | Emmanuel Hakizimana | Christel Muteba | André Ngombe Kaseba | Mea Antoine Tanoh ...
Journal article
2026
The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski

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All publications
Journal article
2021
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Ban, N. | Caillaud, C. | Coppola, E. | Pichelli, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Adinolfi, M. | Ahrens, B. | Alias, A. | Anders, I. | Bastin, S. | Belušić, D. | Berthou, S. | Brisson, E. | Cardoso, R.M. | Chan, S.C. | Christensen, O.B. ...
Journal article
2021
Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Coppola, E. | Nogherotto, R. | Ciarlo', J.M. | Giorgi, F. | van Meijgaard, E. | Kadygrov, N. | Iles, C. | Corre, L. | Sandstad, M. | Somot, S. | Nabat, P. | Vautard, R. | Levavasseur, G. | Schwingshackl, C. | Sillmann, J. ...
Journal article
2021
Projections of river floods in Europe using EURO-CORDEX, CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations
International Journal of Climatology (2021)
Di Sante, F. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and SSPs: A CORDEX-based study
International Journal of Climatology (2021)
Spinoni, J. | Barbosa, P. | Bucchignani, E. | Cassano, J. | Cavazos, T. | Cescatti, A. | Christensen, J.H. | Christensen, O.B. | Coppola, E. | Evans, J.P. | Forzieri, G. | Geyer, B. | Giorgi, F. | Jacob, D. | Katzfey, J. ...
Journal article
2021
Evaluation of the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional Climate Model Ensemble
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Vautard, R. | Kadygrov, N. | Iles, C. | Boberg, F. | Buonomo, E. | Bülow, K. | Coppola, E. | Corre, L. | van Meijgaard, E. | Nogherotto, R. | Sandstad, M. | Schwingshackl, C. | Somot, S. | Aalbers, E. | Christensen, O.B. ...
Journal article
2021
Climate hazard indices projections based on CORDEX-CORE, CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Erika Coppola | Francesca Raffaele | Filippo Giorgi | Graziano Giuliani | Gao Xuejie | James M. Ciarlo | Taleena Rae Sines | José Abraham Torres-Alavez | Sushant Das | Fabio di Sante | Emanuela Pichelli | Russell Glazer ...
Journal article
2021
Robust late twenty-first century shift in the regional monsoons in RegCM-CORDEX simulations
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Ashfaq, M. | Cavazos, T. | Reboita, M.S. | Torres-Alavez, J.A. | Im, E.-S. | Olusegun, C.F. | Alves, L. | Key, K. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Tall, M. | Sylla, M.B. | Mehmood, S. | Zafar, Q. | Das, S. | Diallo, I. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
Interannual variability of the boreal winter subtropical jet stream and teleconnections over the CORDEX-CAM domain during 1980–2010
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Rosa Luna-Niño | Tereza Cavazos | Jose Abraham Torres-Alavez | Filippo Giorgi | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2021
Future changes in the wintertime cyclonic activity over the CORDEX-CORE southern hemisphere domains in a multi-model approach
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Reboita, M.S. | Reale, M. | da Rocha, R.P. | Giorgi, F. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E. | Nino, R.B.L. | Llopart, M. | Torres, J.A. | Cavazos, T.
Journal article
2021
A combined hydrological and hydraulic modelling approach for the flood hazard mapping of the Po river basin
Journal of Flood Risk Management (2021)
Rita Nogherotto
Journal article
2021
Correction to: Emergence of robust anthropogenic increase of heat stress-related variables projected from CORDEX-CORE climate simulations (Climate Dynamics, (2021), 57, 5-6, (1629-1644), 10.1007/s00382-020-05398-w)
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Im, E.-S. | Thanh, N.-X. | Qiu, L. | Ashfaq, M. | Gao, X. | Yao, T. | Torma, C. | Adeniyi, M.O. | Das, S. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.
Journal article
2021
The CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study in southeastern South America: a comparative study of statistical and dynamical downscaling models in simulating daily extreme precipitation events
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Bettolli, M.L. | Solman, S.A. | da Rocha, R.P. | Llopart, M. | Gutierrez, J.M. | Fernández, J. | Olmo, M.E. | Lavin-Gullon, A. | Chou, S.C. | Rodrigues, D.C. | Coppola, E. | Balmaceda Huarte, R. | Barreiro, M. | Blázquez, J. ...
Book chapter
2021
Indian summer monsoon and its teleconnection with Pacific decadal variability
Indian Summer Monsoon Variability: El Niño-Teleconnections and Beyond (2021)
Joshi, M.K. | Kucharski, F. | Rai, A. | Kulkarni, A.
Journal article
2021
The North Pacific Blob acts to increase the predictability of the Atlantic warm pool
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
The Role of an Indian Ocean Heating Dipole in the ENSO Teleconnection to the North Atlantic European Region in Early Winter during the Twentieth Century in Reanalysis and CMIP5 Simulations
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
The importance of inter‐basin atmospheric teleconnection in the SST footprint of Atlantic multidecadal oscillation over western Pacific
Climate Dynamics (2021)
Sun, C. | Liu, Y. | Xue, J. | Kucharski, F. | Li, J. | Li, X.
Journal article
2021
Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America
EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
ENSO teleconnections in an ensemble of CORDEX-CORE regional simulations
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
Sensitivity of Carbonaceous Aerosol Properties to the Implementation of a Dynamic Aging Parameterization in the Regional Climate Model RegCM
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2021)
Sudipta Ghosh | Nicole Riemer | Graziano Giuliani | Filippo Giorgi | Dilip Ganguly | Sagnik Dey
Journal article
2021
Oceanic Influence on Seasonal Malaria Incidence in West Africa.
Weather, Climate, and Society (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide
One Health (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Karan Pattni | Liam Brierley | Lisa Cavalerie | Cyril Caminade | Marcus S.C. Blagrove | Joanne Turner | Kieran J. Sharkey | Matthew Baylis
Journal article
2021
Assessing the suitability for Aedes albopictus and dengue transmission risk in China with a delay differential equation model
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases (2021)
Soeren Metelmann | Xiaobo Liu | Liang Lu | Cyril Caminade | Keke Liu | Lina Cao | Jolyon M. Medlock | Matthew Baylis | Andrew P. Morse | Qiyong Liu | Kate Zinszer
Journal article
2021
The contribution of melt ponds to enhanced Arctic sea-ice melt during the Last Interglacial
Cryosphere (2021)
DIamond, R. | Sime, L.C. | Schroeder, D. | Guarino, M.-V.
Book chapter
2021
How to model the impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases?
Climate, ticks and disease (2021)
Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
A multi-model CMIP6-PMIP4 study of Arctic sea ice at 127 ka: Sea ice data compilation and model differences
Climate of the Past (2021)
Kageyama, M. | Sime, L.C. | Sicard, M. | Guarino, M.-V. | De Vernal, A. | Stein, R. | Schroeder, D. | Malmierca-Vallet, I. | Abe-Ouchi, A. | Bitz, C. | Braconnot, P. | Brady, E.C. | Cao, J. | Chamberlain, M.A. | Feltham, D. ...
Journal article
2021
Sea surface temperature in continental and insular coastal Colombian waters: observations of the recent past and near-term numerical projections
Latin American Journal of Aquatic Research (2021)
Nancy Villegas | Igor Malikov | Riccardo Farneti
Journal article
2021
Low-frequency variability of the Pacific Subtropical Cells as reproduced by coupled models and ocean reanalyses
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2021)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2021
Impact of a Mixed Ocean Layer and the Diurnal Cycle on Convective Aggregation
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2021)
Tompkins, A.M. | Semie, A.G.
Journal article
2021
Impact of an accelerated melting of Greenland on malaria distribution over Africa
Nature Communications (2021)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Adrian M. Tompkins | Dimitri Defrance | Guigone Camus | Margaux Charra | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2021
Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health (2021)
Felipe J Colón-González | Maquins Odhiambo Sewe | Adrian M Tompkins | Henrik Sjödin | Alejandro Casallas | Joacim Rocklöv | Cyril Caminade | Rachel Lowe

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