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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article
2026
The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2026
Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models
Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)
Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola
Journal article
2026
Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance
Climatic Change (2026)
K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...
Journal article
2026
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information
Earth's Future (2026)
Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...
Journal article
2026
High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures
Scientific Reports (2026)
Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann
Journal article
2026
Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations
Climate Dynamics (2026)
Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke
Journal article
2025
Drying Tropical America Under Global Warming: Mechanism and Emergent Constraint
Geophysical Research Letters (2025)
Chao He | Xiaolong Chen | Tianjun Zhou | Fred Kucharski | Fengfei Song
Journal article
2025
A global CORDEX-based dataset delineating urban areas and their surroundings to assess climate change in megacities
Scientific Data (2025)
Javier Diez-Sierra | Yaiza Quintana | Gaby S. Langendijk | Josipa Milovac | Matthias Demuzere | Rita Nogherotto | Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen | Diana Rechid | Natalia Zazulie | Silvina A. Solman | Jesús Fernández
Journal article
2025
Interannual variability of net primary productivity in the northwest African coastal upwelling system and their relation to Dakar Niños
Scientific Reports (2025)
Rodrigue Anicet Imbol Koungue | Arthur Prigent | Joke F. Lübbecke | Peter Brandt | Julien Jouanno
Journal article
2025
A climate suitability index for species distribution modelling applied to terrestrial arthropods in the Mediterranean region
Earth System Dynamics (2025)
James M. Ciarlo' | Monique Borg Inguanez | Erika Coppola | Aaron Micallef | David Mifsud
Journal article
2025
Potential for Machine Learning Emulators to Augment Regional Climate Simulations in Provision of Local Climate Change Information
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2025)
Elizabeth J. Kendon | Henry Addison | Antoine Doury | Samuel Somot | Peter A. G. Watson | Ben B. B. Booth | Erika Coppola | José Manuel Gutiérrez | James Murphy | Calum Scullion
Journal article
2025
Graph neural networks for hourly precipitation projections at the convection permitting scale with a novel hybrid imperfect framework
Environmental Data Science (2025)
Valentina Blasone | Erika Coppola | Guido Sanguinetti | Viplove Arora | Serafina Di Gioia | Luca Bortolussi

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All publications
Journal article
2024
Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2024
Ability of a dynamical climate sensitive disease model to reproduce historical Rift Valley Fever outbreaks over Africa
Scientific Reports (2024)
Alizée Chemison | Gilles Ramstein | Anne Jones | Andy Morse | Cyril Caminade
Journal article
2024
Risk factors for tick attachment in companion animals in Great Britain: a spatiotemporal analysis covering 2014–2021
Parasites & Vectors (2024)
Elena Arsevska | Tomislav Hengl | David A. Singleton | Peter-John M. Noble | Cyril Caminade | Obiora A. Eneanya | Philip H. Jones | Jolyon M. Medlock | Kayleigh M. Hansford | Carmelo Bonannella | Alan D. Radford
Journal article
2024
SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2024)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2024
The added value of km-scale simulations to describe temperature over complex orography: the CORDEX FPS-Convection multi-model ensemble runs over the Alps
Climate Dynamics (2024)
Soares, P.M.M. | Careto, J.A.M. | Cardoso, R.M. | Goergen, K. | Katragkou, E. | Sobolowski, S. | Coppola, E. | Ban, N. | Belušić, D. | Berthou, S. | Caillaud, C. | Dobler, A. | Hodnebrog, Ø. | Kartsios, S. | Lenderink, G. ...
Journal article
2023
The influence of natural variability on extreme monsoons in Pakistan (Vol 66, 167, 2023)
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Validating EURO-CORDEX climate simulations for modelling European wind power generation
Renewable Energy (2023)
Graziela Luzia | Matti Juhani Koivisto | Andrea N. Hahmann
Journal article
2023
The coupled system response to 250 years of freshwater forcing: Last Interglacial CMIP6-PMIP4 HadGEM3 simulations
Climate of the Past (2023)
Guarino, M.V. | Sime, L.C. | Diamond, R. | Ridley, J. | Schroeder, D.
Journal article
2023
Model-Data Comparison of Antarctic Winter Sea-Ice Extent and Southern Ocean Sea-Surface Temperatures During Marine Isotope Stage 5e
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology (2023)
Chadwick, M. | Sime, L.C. | Allen, C.S. | Guarino, M.-V.
Journal article
2023
A Dimensionless Parameter for Predicting Convective Self‐Aggregation Onset in a Stochastic Reaction‐Diffusion Model of Tropical Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (2023)
Giovanni Biagioli | Adrian Mark Tompkins
Journal article
2023
Author Correction: Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Nature Climate Change (2023)
Maria-Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | David Schröeder | Irene Malmierca-Vallet | Erica Rosenblum | Mark Ringer | Jeff Ridley | Danny Feltham | Cecilia Bitz | Eric J. Steig | Eric Wolff | Julienne Stroeve | Alistair Sellar
Journal article
2023
The Southern Ocean Freshwater Input from Antarctica (SOFIA) Initiative: scientific objectives and experimental design
Geoscientific Model Development (2023)
Neil C. Swart | Torge Martin | Rebecca Beadling | Jia-Jia Chen | Christopher Danek | Matthew H. England | Riccardo Farneti | Stephen M. Griffies | Tore Hattermann | Judith Hauck | F. Alexander Haumann | André Jüling ...
Journal article
2023
Attributing Venice Acqua Alta events to a changing climate and evaluating the efficacy of MoSE adaptation strategy
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2023)
Faranda, D. | Ginesta, M. | Alberti, T. | Coppola, E. | Anzidei, M.
Journal article
2023
Mass, Heat, and Freshwater Transport From Transoceanic Sections in the Atlantic Ocean at 30°S and 24.5°N: Single Sections Versus Box Models?
Geophysical Research Letters (2023)
Verónica Caínzos | Alonso Hernández‐Guerra | Riccardo Farneti | M. Dolores Pérez‐Hernández | Lynne D. Talley
Journal article
2023
The Fifth Generation Regional Climate Modeling System, RegCM5: Description and Illustrative Examples at Parameterized Convection and Convection-Permitting Resolutions
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2023)
Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Giuliani, G. | Ciarlo`, J.M. | Pichelli, E. | Nogherotto, R. | Raffaele, F. | Malguzzi, P. | Davolio, S. | Stocchi, P. | Drofa, O.
Journal article
2023
Uncertainty on Atlantic Niño Variability Projections
Geophysical Research Letters (2023)
A. Prigent | R. A. Imbol Koungue | A. S. N. Imbol Nkwinkwa | G. Beobide‐Arsuaga | R. Farneti
Journal article
2023
Assessment of isoprene and near-surface ozone sensitivities to water stress over the Euro-Mediterranean region
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (2023)
Susanna Strada | Andrea Pozzer | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola | Fabien Solmon | Xiaoyan Jiang | Alex Guenther | Efstratios Bourtsoukidis | Dominique Serça | Jonathan Williams | Filippo Giorgi
Journal article
2023
Decadal oscillation provides skillful multiyear predictions of Antarctic sea ice
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Author Correction: The influence of natural variability on extreme monsoons in Pakistan (npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, (2023), 6, 1, (148), 10.1038/s41612-023-00462-8)
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2023)
Ashfaq, M. | Johnson, N. | Kucharski, F. | Diffenbaugh, N.S. | Abid, M.A. | Horan, M.F. | Singh, D. | Mahajan, S. | Ghosh, S. | Ganguly, A.R. | Evans, K.J. | Islam, S.
Journal article
2023
Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability
NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
The influence of natural variability on extreme monsoons in Pakistan
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Model‐Data Comparison of Antarctic Winter Sea‐Ice Extent and Southern Ocean Sea‐Surface Temperatures During Marine Isotope Stage 5e
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology (2023)
M. Chadwick | L. C. Sime | C. S. Allen | M.‐V. Guarino
Journal article
2023
Moisture sources for precipitation variability over the Arabian Peninsula
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
The coupled system response to 250 years of freshwater forcing: Last Interglacial CMIP6–PMIP4 HadGEM3 simulations
Climate of the Past (2023)
Maria Vittoria Guarino | Louise C. Sime | Rachel Diamond | Jeff Ridley | David Schroeder
Journal article
2023
Pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation linked to ocean circulation
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
Prevalence of Human and Animal Fasciolosis in Butajira and Gilgel Gibe Health Demographic Surveillance System Sites in Ethiopia
Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease (2023)
Samson Wakuma Abaya | Seid Tiku Mereta | Fikirte Demissie Tulu | Zeleke Mekonnen | Mio Ayana | Musse Girma | Hannah Rose Vineer | Siobhan M. Mor | Cyril Caminade | John Graham-Brown
Journal article
2023
The Fifth Generation Regional Climate Modeling System, RegCM5: Description and Illustrative Examples at Parameterized Convection and Convection‐Permitting Resolutions
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2023)
Filippo Giorgi | Erika Coppola | Graziano Giuliani | James M. Ciarlo` | Emanuela Pichelli | Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Piero Malguzzi | Silvio Davolio | Paolo Stocchi | Oxana Drofa
Journal article
2023
Predictability of Indian Ocean precipitation and its North Atlantic teleconnections during early winter
NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2023)
Fred Kucharski
Journal article
2023
The fifth generation regional climate modeling system, RegCM5. Part I: Description and illustrative examples at parameterized convection and convection‐permitting resolutions
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (2023)
Filippo Giorgi | Erika Coppola | Graziano Giuliani | James M. Ciarlo` | Emanuela Pichelli | Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Piero Malguzzi | Silvio Davolio | Paolo Stocchi | Oxana Drofa
Journal article
2023
Is the Ollerenshaw fasciolosis forecasting model fit for the 21st century?
Veterinary Record (2023)
Alison Howell | Cyril Caminade | Franz Brülisauer | Sian Mitchell | Diana Williams

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