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Scientists in ICTP's Earth System Physics section publish their research in some of the world's most prestigious journals; for the latest publications, see below.

Journal article

2026

Roles of central and eastern Atlantic Niño in the interannual variability of Indian summer monsoon

SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Assessment of Convection-Permitting Simulations in Representing the Urban-Rural Contrasts over Selected Cities in South America

Earth Systems and Environment (2026)

Silvina A. Solman | Yaiza Quintana | Josipa Milovac | Javier Diez-Sierra | Jesus Fernández | Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha | Erika Coppola | Josefina Blázquez | Francesca Raffaelle | Sin Chan Chou | Daniela Carneiro Rodrigues ...

Journal article

2026

两类大西洋尼诺对印度夏季风年际变率的影响

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae (2026)

娅琪靳 | 磊张 | Fred KUCHARSKI

Journal article

2026

Modelling the risk posed by Aedes mosquitoes in Europe: Identifying research needs from public health stakeholders and field entomologists

Acta Tropica (2026)

Federico Romiti | Sarah Droghei | Dominic Brass | Cyril Caminade | Giovanni Marini | Bethan Purse | Kamil Erguler | Alessandro Albieri | Paola Angelini | Margo Blaha | Olivier Briet | Mattia Calzolari | Marco Carrieri ...

Journal article

2026

Spatial Patterns of Shallow Clouds: Challenging the Concept of Defined Regimes

Geophysical Research Letters (2026)

Giovanni Biagioli | Giulio Mandorli | Lilli Johanna Freischem | Alejandro Casallas | Adrian Mark Tompkins

Journal article

2026

Climate change and malaria control in Africa: country experiences and strategic responses

Malaria Journal (2026)

Anankpo Gildas Yahouedo | Corinne S. Merle | Ibrahima Diallo | Médoune Ndiop | Andrew Muhire | Clarisse Mukashema | Alphonse Mutabazi | Emmanuel Hakizimana | Christel Muteba | André Ngombe Kaseba | Mea Antoine Tanoh ...

Journal article

2026

The interdecadal variations of cross-month correlation feature of the NWPSH

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2026)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2026

Has the fire weather index emerged? Insights from global and regional climate models

Weather and Climate Extremes (2026)

Rita Nogherotto | Francesca Raffaele | Graziano Giuliani | Erika Coppola

Journal article

2026

Correction to: The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance

Climatic Change (2026)

K. L. Ebi | A. Haines | R. F. S. Andrade | C. Åström | M. L. Barreto | A. Bonell | K. Bowen | N. Brink | C. Caminade | C. J. Carlson | R. Carter | P. Chua | G. Cissé | F. J. Colón-González | S. Dasgupta | L. A. Galvao ...

Journal article

2026

The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information

Earth's Future (2026)

Douglas Maraun | Dragana Bojovic | Wendy Parker | Theodore G. Shepherd | Stefan Sobolowski | Cyril Caminade | Alessandro Dosio | William J. Gutowski | Anna Sörensson | Leandro B. Diaz | Ibrahima Diouf | Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes ...

Journal article

2026

High resolution physically based modelling reveals malaria incidence reduction by vector control measures

Scientific Reports (2026)

Mame Diarra Bousso Dieng | Stephan Munga | Adrian M. Tompkins | Miguel Garrido Zornoza | Cyril Caminade | Benjamin Fersch | Joël Arnault | Sammy Khagayi | Maximilian Schwarz | Simon Kariuki | Godfrey Bigogo | Harald Kunstmann

Journal article

2026

Impact of wind forcing on the equatorial Pacific interannual variability in Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP) simulations

Climate Dynamics (2026)

Arthur Prigent | Riccardo Farneti | Fred Kucharski | Antonietta Capotondi | Joke F. Lübbecke

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All publications

Journal article

2015

Potential predictability of the sea-surface temperature forced equatorial East African short rains interannual variability in the 20th century

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

Processes in the Pacific La Nina onset triggered by the Atlantic Nino

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

The Large-Scale Climate in Response to the Retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

Contribution of Synoptic Transients to the Potential Predictability of PNA Circulation Anomalies: El Nino versus La Nina

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2015

Variability and predictability of west African droughts: A review on the role of sea surface temperature anomalies

Journal of Climate (2015)

Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. | Mohino, E. | Mechoso, C.R. | Caminade, C. | Biasutti, M. | Gaetani, M. | Garcia-Serrano, J. | Vizy, E.K. | Cook, K. | Xue, Y. | Polo, I. | Losada, T. | Druyan, L. | Fontaine, B. | Bader, J. | Doblas-Reyes, F.J. ...

Journal article

2015

Demonstration of successful malaria forecasts for Botswana using an operational seasonal climate model

Environmental Research Letters (2015)

MacLeod, D.A. | Jones, A. | Di Giuseppe, F. | Caminade, C. | Morse, A.P.

Journal article

2015

Modelling recent and future climatic suitability for fasciolosis in Europe

Geospatial Health (2015)

Caminade, C. | van Dijk, J. | Baylis, M. | Williams, D.

Journal article

2015

Generalizing cloud overlap treatment to include the effect of wind shear

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2015)

Di Giuseppe, F. | Tompkins, A.M.

Journal article

2015

A generalized deforestation and land-use change scenario generator for use in climate modelling studies

PLoS ONE (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | Caporaso, L. | Biondi, R. | Bell, J.P.

Journal article

2015

Potential predictability of malaria in Africa using ECMWF monthly and seasonal climate forecasts

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | di Giuseppe, F.

Journal article

2015

A process-based investigation into the impact of the Congo basin deforestation on surface climate

Journal of Geophysical Research (2015)

Bell, J.P. | Tompkins, A.M. | Bouka-Biona, C. | Sanda, I.S.

Journal article

2015

An assessment of upper troposphere and lower stratosphere water vapor in MERRA, MERRA2, and ECMWF reanalyses using Aura MLS observations

Journal of Geophysical Research (2015)

Jiang, J.H. | Su, H. | Zhai, C. | Wu, L. | Minschwaner, K. | Molod, A.M. | Tompkins, A.M.

Journal article

2015

An interpretation of cloud overlap statistics

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2015)

Tompkins, A.M. | Di Giuseppe, F.

Journal article

2015

Comparison of ECMWF analysis and forecast humidity data with CARIBIC upper troposphere and lower stratosphere observations

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2015)

Dyroff, C. | Zahn, A. | Christner, E. | Forbes, R. | Tompkins, A.M. | van Velthoven, P.F.J.

Journal article

2015

An assessment of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation during 1958-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Farneti, Riccardo | Downes, Stephanie M. | Griffies, Stephen M. | Marsland, Simon J. | Behrens, Erik | Bentsen, Mats | Bi, Daohua | Biastoch, Arne | Boening, Claus | Bozec, Alexandra | Canuto, Vittorio M. | Chassignet, Eric ...

Journal article

2015

An assessment of Southern Ocean water masses and sea ice during 1988-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Downes, Stephanie M. | Farneti, Riccardo | Uotila, Petteri | Griffies, Stephen M. | Marsland, Simon J. | Bailey, David | Behrens, Erik | Bentsen, Mats | Bi, Daohua | Biastoch, Arne | Boening, Claus | Bozec, Alexandra ...

Journal article

2015

Simulated South Atlantic transports and their variability during 1958-2007

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Sitz, Lina E. | Farneti, Riccardo | Griffies, Stephen M.

Journal article

2015

Simulated South Atlantic transports and their variability during 1958-2007 (vol 91, pg 70, 2015)

Ocean Modelling (2015)

Sitz, Lina E. | Farneti, Riccardo | Griffies, Stephen M.

Journal article

2015

Thermodynamic controls of the Atlantic Nino

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2015)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

On the Atlantic-Pacific Ninos connection: a multidecadal modulated mode

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2014)

Fred Kucharski

Journal article

2014

Seasonal and intraseasonal changes of African monsoon climates in 21st century CORDEX projections

Climatic Change (2014)

Mariotti, L. | Diallo, I. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2014

Changing hydrological conditions in the Po basin under global warming

Science of the Total Environment (2014)

Coppola, E. | Verdecchia, M. | Giorgi, F. | Colaiuda, V. | Tomassetti, B. | Lombardi, A.

Journal article

2014

Sensitivity of the regional climate model RegCM4.2 to planetary boundary layer parameterisation

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Güttler, I. | Branković, Č. | O’Brien, T.A. | Coppola, E. | Grisogono, B. | Giorgi, F.

Journal article

2014

Climate change impact on precipitation for the Amazon and La Plata basins

Climatic Change (2014)

Llopart, M. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | da Rocha, R.P. | Cuadra, S.V.

Journal article

2014

Simulating the connections of ENSO and the rainfall regime of East Africa and the upper Blue Nile region using a climate model of the Tropics

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2014)

M. A. H. Zaroug | F. Giorgi | E. Coppola | G. M. Abdo | E. A. B. Eltahir

Journal article

2014

Interannual variability associated with ENSO: present and future climate projections of RegCM4 for South America-CORDEX domain

Climatic Change (2014)

da Rocha, R.P. | Reboita, M.S. | Dutra, L.M.M. | Llopart, M.P. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

A consistent picture of the hydroclimatic response to global warming from multiple indices: Models and observations

Journal of Geophysical Research (2014)

Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E. | Raffaele, F.

Journal article

2014

Tropical cyclones in a regional climate change projection with RegCM4 over the CORDEX Central America domain

Climatic Change (2014)

Diro, G.T. | Giorgi, F. | Fuentes-Franco, R. | Walsh, K.J.E. | Giuliani, G. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

Mediterranean warm-core cyclones in a warmer world

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Walsh, K. | Giorgi, F. | Coppola, E.

Journal article

2014

Assessment of RegCM4 simulated inter-annual variability and daily-scale statistics of temperature and precipitation over Mexico

Climate Dynamics (2014)

Fuentes-Franco, R. | Coppola, E. | Giorgi, F. | Graef, F. | Pavia, E.G.

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