ICTP - Forthcoming Activities

Forthcoming Activities

The special "Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications" lecture series is a new joint initiative between the Earth System Physics group at ICTP and the Atmospherics Physics group at the University of Trento. They present the current state of research and operational implementation of all areas of weather and climate, past, present and future, and span basic theory, idealized and realistic modelling, through to applications of climate and weather in sectors that include the health, agriculture, energy and the economy. [more information]

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Europe/Rome Lecture 9 of the ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint International Seminar Series on Weather and Climate: From Fundamentals to Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJAuce-orjIuGdY-H52Uoj03paRhzpIoIwBl Abstract Climate model simulations are known to be sensitive to parameter choices in the sub grid-scale representation of deep convection, as deep convection plays a critical role in the transport of heat and momentum globally. Over the years, it has also become evident that the intermodel spread in the warming response to anthropogenic forcing is largely driven by uncertainties in the magnitude of the cloud feedback in the tropics, specifically the low cloud feedback. In this talk, I will discuss how parameterization differences among models and changes to deep convection in response to anthropogenic warming are likely contributing significantly to the intermodel spread in the tropical cloud feedback. I will present evidence of two physical pathways linking deep convection to low clouds and their response to anthropogenic forcing: the "Radiation-Subsidence" Pathway and the "Stability" Pathway. In a warmer world, the tropical overturning circulation is projected to weaken. We find that the overturning circulation does not weaken as much in climate models with more stable tropospheres, which ultimately leads to a more positive low cloud feedback (Stability Pathway). Differences in deep convective parameterization modifying deep convection onset thresholds – such as the fractional rate of entrainment into convective updrafts – can contribute significantly to this intermodel spread in static stability. Additionally, changes to the total area occupied by deep convection in the tropics modify the high cloud fraction, which is linked to subsidence changes and the low cloud feedback (Radiation-Subsidence Pathway). Results from both the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and a perturbation physics ensemble in the Community Earth System model (NCAR CESM) will be presented and discussed. Zoom Event ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

31 May 2022

@ Zoom Event

Earth System Physics

ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint Seminar - Impacts of Deep Convection on the Tropical Low Cloud Feedback and Climate Sensitivity

Speaker(s): SCHIRO Kathleen, University of Virginia, USA

Seminar Start Time: 15:30

Europe/Rome Lecture 10 of the ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint International Seminar Series on Weather and Climate: From Fundamentals to Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJAuce-orjIuGdY-H52Uoj03paRhzpIoIwBl Abstract Convective organization at mesoscales (hundreds of kilometres) is ubiquitous in the tropics, but the physical processes behind it are still poorly understood. Organization can be forced by the large scales, such as surface temperature gradients. But convective organization can also arise from internal feedbacks, such as "self-aggregation" feedbacks. Self-aggregation refers to the spectacular ability of deep clouds to spontaneously cluster in space despite spatially homogeneous conditions and no large-scale forcing, in high-resolution cloud-resolving models (CRMs).Because of the idealized settings in which self-aggregation has been studied (typically radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) over homogeneous sea-surface temperature (SST)), its relevance to the real tropics is debated. In this presentation, we will investigate the impact of removing some of these idealizations on the aggregation process. Specifically, we will investigate the impact of inhomogeneous SSTs on convective aggregation. In a first step, we will investigate how an idealized warm circular SST anomaly, referred to as "hot-spot", helps organize convection, and how self-aggregation feedbacks modulate this organization. The presence of a hot-spot significantly accelerates aggregation, particularly for larger domains and warmer/larger hot-spots, and extends the range of SSTs for which aggregation occurs. In that case, the aggregation onset results from a large-scale circulation induced by the hot-spot.In a second step, we will investigate the interaction of aggregation with an interactive surface (local SST evolving according to the surface energy budget). The results will be interpreted in light of a simple model for the boundary layer circulation. Zoom Event ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

14 Jun 2022

@ Zoom Event

Earth System Physics

ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint Seminar - How Do Ocean Temperature Anomalies Favor or Disfavor the Aggregation of Deep Convective Clouds?

Speaker(s): MULLER Caroline, Institute of Science and Technology, Austria

Seminar Start Time: 15:30

Europe/Rome An ICTP Hybrid Meeting. You can submit your application for participation in presence or online. During the last 5-10 years, a large number of extreme weather and climate events in Europe and worldwide have occurred, causing damage to infrastructure and casualties especially in developing countries. This has raised the question about the role of climate change in altering the odds or the magnitude of a number of such events and the new "science of attribution" has began with several attribution published all around the world. The aim of the school is to define techniques to tackle the problem of attributing meteorological extreme events to climate change by mean of machine learning technologies. Lectures will also focus on determining causal links of extreme events with the underlying climate dynamics as the atmospheric circulation. The school will also discuss and provide the bases for communicating attribution results to the general public, stakeholders and other scientists in an exact although non specialist language. Topics: Dynamics and thermodynamics of extreme events (including heatwaves, cold spells, severe convective events, tropical and extra-tropical cyclones, compound extremes at different scales) Statistical tools for extreme event attribution (including rare events algorithms, compound climate extremes, storylines, casual inference, downscaling and bias correction) Machine Learning for extreme event attribution (including phyisics-aware machine learning, explainable artificial intelligence for climate sciences, casual discovery algorithms for extreme events) Outreach and communication training (including a creative writing workshop, communication of extreme event attribution to the general public, school outreach activities and outreach videogames) Speakers: E. BARNES, Colorado State U, USA E. BEVACQUA, UFZ Leipzig, Germany G. CAMPS-VALLS, ISP-UVEG, Spain E. COPPOLA, ICTP, Italy E. COUGHLAN DE PEREZ, RCCC, Netherlands D. COUMOU, VU Amsterdam, Netherlands D. FARANDA, LSCE CNRS, France M.A. FERNÁNDEZ-TORRES, ISP-UVEG, Spain E. FISCHER, ETH Zurich, Switzerland L. FRASER, Met Office, UK A. JEZEQUEL, IPSL-LMD, France S. KLEIN, OCE, France M. KRETSCHMER, U Reading, UK G. MESSORI, Uppsala U, Sweden F. OTTO, Imperial College, UK J. RUNGE, DLR, Germany T. SHEPHERD, U Reading, UK R. SINGH, RCCC, Netherlands S. SIPPEL, ETH Zurich, Switzerland P. SUAREZ, RCCC, Netherlands R. VAUTARD, IPSL CNRS, France M. VRAC, LSCE, France P. YIOU, LSCE, France Participants are encouraged to submit abstracts for contributed talk. A number of short oral presentation slots will be available for some of them upon selection. During the application please make sure to use our templates to format your abstract in PDFs. Templates are available below for download. Accepted participants will be able to attend in remote or strictly following Italian sanitary rules as they will be applicable at the time of the conference, and depending on the very limited number of available places in person. As regards the COVID-19 policy, we advise to follow the updated rules available on the ICTP page ICTP Access Guidelines for Visitors. Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee. ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

20 Jun 2022 - 1 Jul 2022

@ ICTP

Earth System Physics

Artificial Intelligence for Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes | (smr 3717)

Address: Strada Costiera, 11 I - 34151 Trieste (Italy)

Room: Kastler Lecture Hall (AGH)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Emanuele BEVACQUA (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Germany), Erika COPPOLA (ICTP, Italy), Dim COUMOU (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands), Davide FARANDA (LSCE-IPSL, CNRS, France), Aglae JEZEQUEL (LMD, ENS Paris, France), Robert VAUTARD (LSCE-IPSL, CNRS, France), Mathieu VRAC (LSCE-IPSL, CNRS, France), Pascal YIOU (LSCE-IPSL, CEA, CNRS, France), Local Organiser: Erika Coppola (ICTP)

Cosponsor(s): European Unioneu, eXtreme events : Artificial Intelligence for Detection and Attributionxaida

Support E-Mail: smr3717@ictp.it

**DEADLINE: 24/04/2022**

Activity

11 Jul 2022 - 15 Jul 2022

@ Kigali - Rwanda

Earth System Physics

ICTP-Africa Joint School on Rainfall and Water Resources Management | (smr 3724)

Secretary: Susanne Henningsen

Organizer(s): Omololu Akin-Ojo (ICTP-EAIFR, Rwanda), Umaru Garba Wali (University of Rwanda), William S. Logan ( ICIWaRM (under the auspices of UNESCO)), Anil Mishra (Intergovernmental Hydrological Programme (IHP), Division of Water Sciences, UNESCO, Paris, France), Phu Nguyen (Univ. California, Irvine USA), Samuel Partey (UNESCO Regional Office for Eastern Africa), Jayakumar Ramasamy (UNESCO Regional Office for Eastern Africa), Soroosh Sorooshian (Univ. California, Irvine USA), ICTP Scientific Contact: Erika Coppola (ICTP)

Europe/Rome An ICTP Hybrid Meeting You can submit your application for participation in presence or online. The El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a strong driver of significant weather and climate anomalies across the globe. ENSO is probably one of the most studied phenomena in climate research, but there are still many open research questions, which will be discussed in this school. ENSO teleconnections continue to be an area of very active research. They include not only effects on the circulation over the mid-latitudes (Europe, Asia, North America, South America), but also a strong influence on the Asian Monsoon. The Monsoon also has its own set of teleconnections not all of which are related to ENSO. It will be very helpful for researchers and students alike to learn the latest advances in the understanding of ENSO dynamics and its broad range of teleconnections. One emphasis of this workshop will be the Asian Monsoon, which is a complex phenomenon of great importance to the regional agriculture and hence to the well-being of a very significant population. In recent years there has been an advance in understanding of how the Monsoon is affected by, and interacts with, the tropical ocean basins, the adjoining land masses, mid-latitudes and the stratosphere. Topics: Tropical ocean (ENSO) dynamics, including phenomenology ENSO theory, modeling, prediction Decadal Variability and long term trends ENSO teleconnections Decadal variations of interannual teleconnections Inter-basin connections Tropical-extratropical teleconnections Lecturers include: M.A. ABID, ICTP, Italy S. BORDONI, University of Trento, Italy A. CAPOTONDI, University of Colorado and NOAA/PSL, USA A. CHERCHI, INGV, Italy A. FEDOROV, Yale University, USA E. GUILYARDI, LOCEAN/IPSL, France F.-F. JIN, University of Hawaii, USA I.-S. KANG, Second Institute of Oceanography, China B. KIRTMAN, University of Miami, USA V. KRISHNAMURTHY, George Mason University, USA M. L'HEUREUX, NOAA/CPC, USA J. MARSHALL, MIT, USA M. MCPHADEN, NOAA/PMEL, USA F. MOLTENI, ECMWF, UK Y. PLANTON, NOAA/PMEL, USA A.M. RAVINDRAN, Center for Prototype Climate Modelling, UAE A. ROBERTSON, Columbia University A. SANTOSO, University of New South Wales and CSIRO, Australia J. SHUKLA, George Mason University, USA E. SWENSON, GMU, USA C. WANG, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China A. WITTENBERG, NOAA/GFDL, USA S.-P. XIE, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, USA Applicants are required to submit 'Research Abstract'. A number of abstracts will be selected for a contributed talk or for a poster session. During the application please make sure to use our templates to format your abstract in PDFs. Templates are available below for download. Accepted participants will be able to attend in remote or — strictly following Italian sanitary rules as they will be applicable at the time of the school, and depending on the very limited number of available places — in person. As regards the COVID-19 policy, we advise to follow the updated rules available on the ICTP page Access Guidelines for Visitors. Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee. ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

18 Jul 2022 - 29 Jul 2022

@ ICTP

Earth System Physics

3rd Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modeling of Climate Dynamics: Tropical Oceans, ENSO and their teleconnections | (smr 3727)

Address: Strada Costiera, 11 I - 34151 Trieste (Italy)

Room: Kastler Lecture Hall (AGH)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Antonietta CAPOTONDI (University of Colorado and NOAA/ESR), David STRAUS (George Mason University), Jagadish SHUKLA (George Mason University), Riccardo FARNETI (ICTP), Adrian TOMPKINS (ICTP), Local Organiser: Fred Kucharski (ICTP)

Cosponsor(s): National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrationnoaa, National Science Foundationnsf2, US Climate Variability and Predictability Programusclivar, Climate and Ocean - Variability, Predictability, and Changeusclivar2, World Climate Research Programmewcrp

Support E-Mail: smr3727@ictp.it

Note: the deadline on 15 May 2022 is for all applications needing financial support and/or visa and on 3 July 2022 - all other applications.**DEADLINE: 03/07/2022**

Activity

1 Aug 2022 - 5 Aug 2022

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

Advancing Subtropical Climate Dynamics: Diagonal Convergence Zones, Droughts, and Floods in Past, Present and Future Climates | (smr 3687)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Neil Hart (University of Oxford), Marcia ZIlli (University of Oxford), Local Organiser: Riccardo Farneti (ICTP)

Support E-Mail: smr3687@ictp.it

Europe/Rome An ICTP-CLIVAR Hybrid Meeting. The call for applications will be open soon. In order to meet growing societal and scientific demand for climate information, forecasting, and prediction the ocean observing community — through CLIVAR, GOOS, and partners — have recently conducted major reviews of several regional Ocean Observing Systems (e.g. IndOOS-2, TPOS2020, TAOS). Through these reviews communities are recognising the overarching need for: (1) expansion of long-term observations into the coastal zone, where humans interact with the ocean; and (2) multi-disciplinary observing systems that better track oxygen minimum zones, the carbon cycle, and productivity. Meanwhile, the implementation and enhancement of each regional observing system is met with similar challenges: Identifying drivers, optimising design, funding expansion, developing new resources, testing new platforms and sensors, building partnerships with rim nations, capacity building, data sharing, etc. Therefore, bringing the panels together, with an emphasis on participation of developing nation scientists, would allow an exchange of problems, ideas, and solutions, enriching the efforts of each and adding up to a global perspective worth more than the sum of its parts. The workshop will bring members across different CLIVAR panels, observing system scientists and leaders together with invited speakers from developing rim nations to discuss priorities and cross-cutting strategies as well as explore new partnerships for the expansion of the regional ocean observing systems. At the workshop, participants will: Present and discuss the current most important societal and scientific drivers of each of the regional basin-wide observing systems. Hear scientists from developing countries present the scientific and societal drivers for observing their coastal oceans and discuss how their needs may interface with the regional ocean observing systems and their products. Discuss challenges, processes, and outcomes of reviewing and designing the regional observing systems for the next decade. For example, (i) the transition to more multidisciplinary observing systems (and panel membership), (ii) the need for regional-scale forecasting and expansion into the coastal zone, (iii) lobbying for resources, capacity-building, and developing partnerships, (iv) data archiving, assemblage, and sharing. Discuss how our efforts and priorities combine and how the panels can prepare together for the UN Decade. Topics: Societal and scientific drivers of regional ocean observing systems; Connect observation-modeling-prediction Multi-disciplinary and innovative observing system and expansion into coastal zones Grants: A limited number of grants are available to support the attendance of selected participants, with priority given to participants from developing countries. There is no registration fee. Further information can be found at the following link: https://www.clivar.org/events/clivar-goos-workshop-global-coastal-cultivating-new-solutions-and-partnerships-enhanced-ocean In person participation: As regards the COVID-19 policy, we advise to follow the updated rules available on the ICTP page Access Guidelines for Visitors. ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

15 Aug 2022 - 17 Aug 2022

@ ICTP

Earth System Physics

From Global to Local: Cultivating New Solutions and Partnerships for an Enhanced Ocean Observing System in a Decade of Accelerating Change | (smr 3731)

Address: Strada Costiera, 11 I - 34151 Trieste (Italy)

Room: Budinich Lecture Hall (LB)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Lisa BEAL (University of Miami), Maria Paz CHIDICHIMO (CONICET & SHN), Sophie CRAVATTE (IRD), Enrique CURCHITSER (Rutgers University), Albert FISCHER (GOOS), Nick HARDMAN-MOUNTFORD (Commonwealth), Tarron LAMONT (Department of Forestry, Fisheries, and the Environment), Jing LI (CLIVAR), Edem MAHU (University of Ghana), Ivonne MONTES (Geophysics Institute of Peru), Hindumathi PALANISAMY (WCRP), Jose SANTOS (CLIVAR), Sheena TALMA (Nekton Foundation), Weidong YU (Sun Yat-Sen University), Local Organiser: Riccardo Farneti (ICTP)

Cosponsor(s): Climate and Ocean: Variability, Predictability, and Change (CLIVAR)usclivar2, The Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS)goos, US Climate Variability and Predictability Programusclivar, World Climate Research Programmewcrp

Support E-Mail: smr3731@ictp.it

The deadline on 15 June 2022 is for abstracts submission and grant application and on 31 July 2022 is for all other applications.**DEADLINE: 31/07/2022**

Activity

4 Sep 2022 - 6 Sep 2022

@ Buenos Aires - Argentina

Earth System Physics

Conference on Regional Climate Modeling and Extreme Events over South America: results from the CORDEX-Flagship Pilot Study | (smr 3745)

Secretary: Susanne Henningsen

Organizer(s): Marcelo Barreiro (University of the Republic of Uruguay), Maria Laura Bettolli (University of Buenos Aires /CONICET), Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha (IAG/USP), Marta Llopart (São Paulo State University (UNESP)), Silvina Solman (University of Buenos Aires/CIMA-CONICET), ICTP Scientific Contact: Erika Coppola (ICTP)

Europe/Rome A collaboration with UNESCO southern Africa regional office, this online workshop will outline how to access and process gridded climate data. Based on the eDX open-learning platform, the course will take the form of a series of pre-recorded, video-based lectures, each one focussed on a specific topic outlined below, with related exercises. The course assessment will consist of two larger assignments, which are assessed automatically. The successful completion of the assignments will lead to course certification. Once a week, the lecturer will be available for an interactive tutorial sessions to help with issues related to the course. Please note that successful completion of this course is a prerequisite for the selection process of the in-person activity "Climate data and seasonal forecast analysis techniques - II part | (smr 3747)" and related activities. Topics: Accessing state-of-the-art reanalysis climate data from the Copernicus Climate Data store Extracting data for specific areas and locations Calculating spatial and temporal statistics and anomalies Calculating derived variables and indices for extreme weather and heatwaves. Making your own ENSO and Indian-Ocean Dipole indices Calculating the impact of ENSO on weather in your region of interest Registration: There is no registration fee. Online - ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

5 Sep 2022 - 28 Oct 2022

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

Climate Data and Seasonal Forecast Analysis Techniques | (smr 3691)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Koen VERBIST (UNESCO), Local Organiser: Adrian Mark Tompkins (ICTP)

Support E-Mail: smr3691@ictp.it

Activity

26 Sep 2022 - 30 Sep 2022

@ ICTP

Earth System Physics

Climate Information for Risk Assessment and Regional Adapation From Global Scale Climate Projections to Local Scale Climate Hazards, Bridging Across Temporal and Spatial Scales to Produce Impact and Risk Relevant Climate Information | (smr 3738)

Address: Strada Costiera, 11 I - 34151 Trieste (Italy)

Room: Budinich Lecture Hall (LB)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Roshanka RANASINGHE (IHE ), Alex RUANE (NASA), Robert VAUTARD (IPSL ), Local Organiser: Erika Coppola (ICTP)

Support E-Mail: smr3738@ictp.it

Activity

17 Oct 2022 - 28 Oct 2022

@ ICTP

Earth System Physics

Mechanics of the Earthquake Cycle | (smr 3683)

Address: Strada Costiera, 11 I - 34151 Trieste (Italy)

Room: Budinich Lecture Hall (LB)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Local Organiser: Abdelkrim Aoudia (ICTP)

Support E-Mail: smr3683@ictp.it

Europe/Rome Prerequisite: for the selection process in this activity participation in "Climate Data and Seasonal Forecast Analysis Techniques | (smr 3691)" is a prerequisite. Harare - Zimbabwe ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

7 Nov 2022 - 11 Nov 2022

@ Harare - Zimbabwe

Earth System Physics

Climate Data and Seasonal Forecast Analysis Techniques - II part | (smr 3747)

Secretary: Monica Petronela Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Koen VERBIST (UNESCO), ICTP Scientific Contact: Adrian Mark Tompkins (ICTP)

Support E-Mail: smr3747@ictp.it

ICTP - Strada Costiera, 11
I - 34151 Trieste Italy
(+39) 040 2240 111
pio@ictp.it

ICTP is governed by UNESCO, IAEA, and Italy, and is a UNESCO Category 1 Institute

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Forthcoming Activities

Seminar

Earth System Physics

ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint Seminar - Impacts of Deep Convection on the Tropical Low Cloud Feedback and Climate Sensitivity

Seminar

Earth System Physics

ICTP/UniTN/UniAQ Joint Seminar - How Do Ocean Temperature Anomalies Favor or Disfavor the Aggregation of Deep Convective Clouds?

Activity

Earth System Physics

Artificial Intelligence for Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes | (smr 3717)

Activity

Earth System Physics

ICTP-Africa Joint School on Rainfall and Water Resources Management | (smr 3724)

Activity

Earth System Physics

3rd Summer School on Theory, Mechanisms and Hierarchical Modeling of Climate Dynamics: Tropical Oceans, ENSO and their teleconnections | (smr 3727)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Advancing Subtropical Climate Dynamics: Diagonal Convergence Zones, Droughts, and Floods in Past, Present and Future Climates | (smr 3687)

Activity

Earth System Physics

From Global to Local: Cultivating New Solutions and Partnerships for an Enhanced Ocean Observing System in a Decade of Accelerating Change | (smr 3731)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Conference on Regional Climate Modeling and Extreme Events over South America: results from the CORDEX-Flagship Pilot Study | (smr 3745)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Climate Data and Seasonal Forecast Analysis Techniques | (smr 3691)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Climate Information for Risk Assessment and Regional Adapation From Global Scale Climate Projections to Local Scale Climate Hazards, Bridging Across Temporal and Spatial Scales to Produce Impact and Risk Relevant Climate Information | (smr 3738)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Mechanics of the Earthquake Cycle | (smr 3683)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Climate Data and Seasonal Forecast Analysis Techniques - II part | (smr 3747)

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