ICTP - Forthcoming Activities

Forthcoming Activities

The special "Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications" lecture series is a new joint initiative between the Earth System Physics group at ICTP and the Atmospherics Physics group at the University of Trento. They present the current state of research and operational implementation of all areas of weather and climate, past, present and future, and span basic theory, idealized and realistic modelling, through to applications of climate and weather in sectors that include the health, agriculture, energy and the economy. [more information]

Showing 12 records

Europe/Rome Lecture 7 of series on Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: In urban neighborhood and around industrial plants, the atmospheric dispersion of pollutants is strongly affected by the presence of buildings. They affect the mean flow field and the turbulence and these in turn will affect the concentrations levels. We describe the use of Computational Fluid Dynamics models (adapted for the atmosphere), following either an Eulerian/Eulerian approach or an hybrid Eulerian/Lagrangian formulation. The results are illustrated using measurements of the Mock Urban Setting Test (MUST) campaign performed in the USA. Using the same field campaign, we will also show how we can use data assimilation of the measurements between the buildings to improve the numerical simulation in urban environments. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

22 Apr 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Numerical modeling studies of atmospheric dispersion of pollutant around obstacles

Speaker(s): Bertrand Carissimo, CEREA (Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherche en Environnement Atmosphérique), Paris

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 8 of series on Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: It has been 10 years since the ash cloud from the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull caused unprecedented disruption to air traffic across Europe. During this event, the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC), hosted by the UK Met Office, provided advice and guidance on the expected location of volcanic ash in the atmosphere using observations and the atmospheric dispersion model NAME (Numerical Atmospheric-Dispersion Modelling Environment). Rapid changes in regulatory response and procedures during the eruption introduced the requirement to also provide forecasts of ash concentrations, representing a step-change in the level of interrogation of the dispersion model output. Although disruptive, the longevity of the event afforded the scientific community the opportunity to observe and extensively study the transport and dispersion of a volcanic ash cloud. I will discuss what we learnt from that event and the developments we have made to NAME in the decade since the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull. Much of the focus has been on improving the representation of the eruption source parameters which are subject to considerable uncertainty. This has included the application of Bayesian methods to reconstructing the source from satellite data and the use of integral plume models to determine the mass emission rate and other properties of the eruption column. Since the downwind spread of ash is sensitive to the distribution of ash particle size and density, considerable effort has also been made to improve their representation in NAME including secondary effects such as aggregation and particle shape. I will illustrate the effect of these and other changes to NAME. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

29 Apr 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Modelling the dispersion of volcanic ash in the atmosphere: 10 years on from Eyjafjallajökull

Speaker(s): Benjamin Devenish, Atmospheric Dispersion Group, Meteorological Office, UK

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 9 of series on Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: Wind energy is one of the key drivers of energy transition, however the flow of investments into this industry is hampered by the uncertainty of the future revenues, arising from the natural variability of the resource, the impact of climate change on wind potential and future electricity prices, and the policy risks. In this article we quantify the uncertainty of the net present value of standardized wind farms in European countries and evaluate the level and cost of support mechanisms needed to guarantee the profitability of the wind fleet under present and future climate. To this end, we build a localized model for wind power output and a country-level model for electricity demand and prices taking into account hourly variation of wind, load and prices, using reanalysis data, climate projections and Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) scenarios. Our methodology is general, but for specific evaluations we focus on the examples of France, Germany and Denmark. Our study reveals that support mechanisms in these countries are needed for wind energy to be profitable under current market prices and current climate. Under future climate, using several scenarios for climate change and energy transition, we also show that the evolution of both price and wind production does not allow the wind energy industry in these countries to develop in a free market environment and that support mechanisms will still be needed in future. The cost of these support mechanisms for a 15-year period is evaluated to 57–172 billion euros in France, 232–397 billion euros in Germany, and 18–50 billion euros in Denmark, depending on the scenario considered and the level of penetration of wind energy. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

6 May 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Wind farm revenues in Western Europe in present and future climate

Speaker(s): Anna Creti, Laboratoire d'Économie de Dauphine-Centre de Géopolitique de l'Energie et des Matières Premières (LeDA-CGEMP). Paris Dauphine University

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome An ICTP-IAEA virtual meeting Cosmic Ray Neutron Sensor (CRNS) has potential for soil moisture monitoring of agricultural land. The results can be used for irrigation scheduling and extreme weather events forecasting. Remote sensing can extrapolate the acquired soil moisture data to larger areas. The increasing demand for food production due to population increase and climatic hazards requires improving land management practices. One of major demands is to support the decision processes by reliable and representative information on soil moisture, which is difficult to obtain by conventional soil moisture measurements. CRNS is a suitable technique for this purpose since it is non-invasive and has a large footprint overcoming the problem of soil moisture spatial microvariability. The data acquired from CRNS measurements can be used for hydrological modelling, validation remote sensing soil moisture products and practical agricultural and environmental applications such as improving agricultural water use efficiency, irrigation scheduling, drought management and flood forecast. Topics: Basic principles of soil moisture measurements using Cosmic Ray Neutron Sensor (CRNS) Overview and demonstration of data download and data processing CRNS data products: time series filter, root zone moisture extrapolation and rainfall estimation Spatial mapping with CRNS Use of CRNS data for irrigation agriculture Use of CRNS for supporting agricultural land management Use of CRNS for supporting drought monitoring Added value of combining CRNS and point scale soil moisture Overview of remote sensing soil moisture data products Use of CRNS data for validation of remote sensing soil moisture products Applications of remote sensing soil moisture data products Factors affecting the accuracy of cosmic-ray neutron counts and estimated soil moisture Efforts to a harmonized data processing approach for cosmic-ray neutron sensors The use of cosmic-ray neutron sensors in hydrometeorology Speakers: G. BARONI, Alma Mater Studiorum – University of Bologna, Italy T. FRANZ, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA R. ROSOLEM, University of Bristol, UK W. WAGNER, Vienna University of Technology, Austria Registration: There is no registration fee. Online - ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

10 May 2021 - 19 May 2021

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

Joint ICTP-IAEA Workshop on the Use of Cosmic Ray Neutron Sensor for Soil Moisture Management and Validation of Remote Sensing Soil Moisture Maps | (smr 3574)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Emil Fulajtar (Joint FAO/IAEA Centre), Local Organiser: Paolo Creminelli

Cosponsor(s): Joint FAO/IAEA Centre of Nuclear Techniques in Food and Agriculturejfic4

Support E-Mail: smr3574@ictp.it

**DEADLINE: 23/04/2021**

Europe/Rome Lecture 10 of series on Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: Climate change adaptation in both public and private sectors urgently requires better risk quantification tools to inform decision-making and planning across multiple timescales. In this presentation, I will give an overview of the research activities in IBM’s “AI for Climate Impacts” research theme, an initiative to build resilience to climate change by developing AI-enhanced and cloud-enabled models to quantify climate risk. I will describe applications of AI techniques to the specific challenge of improving flood risk quantification, including the use of simulation model surrogates, automated ground truth mapping and model calibration, and machine learning approaches to quantifying and propagating multiple sources of uncertainty. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

13 May 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Artificial intelligence for climate impacts

Speaker(s): Anne Jones, IBM Research Centre, UK

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 11 in the series: Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: Exposure to cold and heat poses a risk to human health. This talk will present recent work about the impacts of climate change on temperature-related excess mortality, encompassing attribution of observed changes and future projections. The geographic scale of the presented studies ranges from hundreds of cities worldwide, based on the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Project, to individual countries in Europe. Besides introducing basic concepts and summarizing recent published results, the talk will discuss novel approaches for taking acclimatization/adaptation into account when projecting possible future trajectories of temperature-related excess mortality. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

20 May 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Climate impact on cold- and heat-related mortality

Speaker(s): Veronika Huber, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Seville, Spain

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 12 in the series: Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Abstract: The atmospheric dispersion of pollutants is one of the main phenomena that must be described to obtain an assessment of the air pollution. Among the tools that may allow this, numerical dispersion models constitute one of the main ones. They allow to reconstruct the behavior of pollutants released into the atmosphere by both human activities (transport, heating, industry) and natural phenomena (volcanoes, fires, sand storms). Pollutants are transported by wind and dispersed by turbulence, chemically transformed, deposited by surface contact or removed by rainfall: the aim of the models is to reproduce this complex phenomenology to assess air quality levels that may be harmful to human health and ecosystems. ARIANET has a more than ventennial history in both developing and using this kind of models for many applications at different scales, ranging from impact studies of local industrial pollutant sources to the development, use and maintenance of air quality forecast systems at the national scale. Aim of the seminar is to describe the various products developed and available at ARIANET, including both the Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model SPRAY and the Eulerian Chemical Transport Model FARM widely used by many institutions in Italy and to give an overview of the many applications of these modeling tools such as in the fields of impact assessment, emergency response, odours, fires, and forecasting systems. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

27 May 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Modelling the dispersion of pollutants in the atmospheric boundary layer. The experience of ARIANET, products and applications

Speaker(s): Gianni Tinarelli, Arianet, Italy

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 13 of the series: Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting Abstract: Turbulence in the atmosphere is typically described as random and unpredictable and requires statistical approaches. In this spirit many processes driven by turbulence can be successfully and efficiently modelled using stochastic approaches. Similarly, but in a wider sense, sub-grid scale dispersion and mixing processes that are not explicitly resolved by atmospheric flow simulations can be often modelled by using stochastic approaches for the considered spatial and temporal scales. I will discuss the formulation and application of simple stochastic models for the simulation of processes related to atmospheric dispersion of gases and particles, with spatial scales ranging from few meters (from an emitting local scalar source) to global. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

3 Jun 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Stochastic models, an effective tool for simulating atmospheric dispersion and mixing

Speaker(s): Massimo Cassiani, Nilu (Norwegian Institute for Air Research)

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Europe/Rome Lecture 14 of series on Environmental Meteorology: From the Fundamentals of Climate to Operational Applications Register in advance for this meeting: https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJ0lcuyurDMrEtbfP9f16GRLzqF1AiT7PHN7 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the meeting. Zoom Meeting ICTP pio@ictp.it

Seminar

10 Jun 2021

@ Zoom Meeting

Earth System Physics

Understanding cloud-circulation coupling in the trades: lessons from EUREC4A

Speaker(s): Sandrine Bony, Director of Research CNRS Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique (LMD/IPSL) Sorbonne Université,

Seminar Start Time: 15:00

Activity

14 Jun 2021 - 2 Jul 2021

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

Joint Summer School on Modelling Tools for Sustainable Development | (smr 3581)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Mark Howells (KTH), Local Organiser: Adrian Tompkins

Cosponsor(s): OpTIMUS Community of Practiceoptimus1, Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO)ukaid, Imperial College Londonicl2, International Atomic Energy Agencyiaea3, KTH Royal Institute of Technologykth1, Loughborough Universitylboro, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairsundesa1, United Nations Development Programmeundp1, United Nations Economic Commission for Africauneca, University of Cambridgecambridge, University of Oxfordoxford2, The Open Universityopenuniv, The World Bank Groupwbank2, Simon Fraser UniversitySFU, The Climate Compatible Growth (#CCG) programccg1

Support E-Mail: smr3581@ictp.it

Europe/Rome An ICTP-IUGG Virtual meeting The Workshop will discuss state-of-the-art, applications and perspectives of data assimilation and inverse problems in geophysical sciences. World leading scientists will be attracted to the program to present and discuss these topics in relation to specific geophysical disciplines. Understanding the complex operation of the Earth system requires an interdisciplinary approach and international collaboration. Data assimilation and modern methods of solving inverse problems provide unique opportunities to exploit such approach and collaboration by integrating data and information from disciplinary sources. These techniques become major forecasting tools in meteorology, oceanography, atmospheric chemistry, hydrology, and recently they started to be applied to solid Earth problems. The workshop organized jointly by the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), ICTP, and EAIFR will discuss applications of data assimilation and inverse problem methodologies to specific geophysical fields. The related scientific progress may contribute to the solutions of major societal challenges, such as climatic and environmental changes, disaster risk reduction, and sustainability. PhD students, postdocs, and advanced practitioners are encouraged to attend the workshop. Topics: Inverse problems Data assimilation Atmospheric sciences and meteorology Oceanography Climatology Hydrology and cryospheric sciences Geodynamics and seismology Volcanology Geodesy Geomagnetism and aeronomy Registration: There is no registration fee. Online - ICTP pio@ictp.it

Activity

18 Oct 2021 - 29 Oct 2021

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

Joint ICTP-IUGG Workshop on Data Assimilation and Inverse Problems in Geophysical Sciences | (smr 3607)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Omololu Akin-Ojo (ICTP-EAIFR), Alik Ismail-Zadeh (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology), Local Organiser: Abdelkrim Aoudia

Cosponsor(s): The International Union of Geodesy and Geophysicsiugg4, EAIFReaifr

Support E-Mail: smr3607@ictp.it

Activity

8 Nov 2021 - 12 Nov 2021

@ Online -

Earth System Physics

10th ICTP Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models | (smr 3575)

Room: Online

Secretary: Monica Ancuta, Viktoriya Lvova, Adriana Pinto

Organizer(s): Erika Coppola (ICTP), Xuejie Gao (IAP, Beijing, China), Gemma Narisma (Ateneo de Manila, Philippines), Michelle Reboita (U. Federal de Itajuba, Brazil), Local Organiser: Filippo Giorgi

Support E-Mail: smr3575@ictp.it

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Forthcoming Activities

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Numerical modeling studies of atmospheric dispersion of pollutant around obstacles

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Modelling the dispersion of volcanic ash in the atmosphere: 10 years on from Eyjafjallajökull

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Wind farm revenues in Western Europe in present and future climate

Activity

Earth System Physics

Joint ICTP-IAEA Workshop on the Use of Cosmic Ray Neutron Sensor for Soil Moisture Management and Validation of Remote Sensing Soil Moisture Maps | (smr 3574)

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Artificial intelligence for climate impacts

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Climate impact on cold- and heat-related mortality

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Modelling the dispersion of pollutants in the atmospheric boundary layer. The experience of ARIANET, products and applications

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Stochastic models, an effective tool for simulating atmospheric dispersion and mixing

Seminar

Earth System Physics

Understanding cloud-circulation coupling in the trades: lessons from EUREC4A

Activity

Earth System Physics

Joint Summer School on Modelling Tools for Sustainable Development | (smr 3581)

Activity

Earth System Physics

Joint ICTP-IUGG Workshop on Data Assimilation and Inverse Problems in Geophysical Sciences | (smr 3607)

Activity

Earth System Physics

10th ICTP Workshop on the Theory and Use of Regional Climate Models | (smr 3575)

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