ESP

Europe/Rome 2017-06-12 08:00:00 2017-06-23 22:00:00 Fourth Workshop on Water Resources in Developing Countries: Hydroclimate Modeling and Analysis Tools | (smr 3125) One of the WCRP great challenges is the focus on changes in water availability and in particular on the ability of the scientific community to be able to understand and predict precipitation variability and change. By improving the observational system both based on in situ observations and satellite observations, the model validation is becoming more and more accurate and this will allow us to improve our understanding of atmospheric and land surface processes and finally to better predict precipitation. This will in turn affect the quality of the prediction of the hydrological cycle across several scales, from catchments to regional to global. On the other side the regional climate model community and CORDEX is moving towards very high-resolution simulation ensemble effort down to the scale of the convective permitting resolution (1-3 km). This will open new frontiers for the hydrological model community because this will bridge the spatial scale gap between regional climate models and impact models (hydrological models, ecosystem models etc.) community. This workshop will focus on the state of the art of: -Precipitation measurements. What can we use to validate precipitation coming from the model output? -Ensemble of high-resolution regional climate model outputs. How can those be used as input of a hydrological model? -Uncertainty in global and regional climate projections. How can this uncertainty be taken into account for hydro-climate simulation? ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it 12 Jun 2017 - 23 Jun 2017

Europe/Rome 2017-06-12 08:30:00 2017-06-30 22:00:00 CLEWS Summer School | (smr 3168) The Summer School on Modelling Tools for Sustainable Development has two major objectives. It seeks to deepen the modeling skills of government officials and academics to inform sustainable development policies through more than 100 hours of intensive training sessions combining analysts from governments and academics. Government officials from countries participating in UNDESA and UNDP capacity development projects on modeling tools will interact with graduate students and researchers interested in contributing to the practice of providing rigorous evidence for decision making on sustainable development policies. ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it 12 Jun 2017 - 30 Jun 2017

Europe/Rome 2017-07-31 08:00:00 2017-08-04 22:00:00 Targeted Training Activity (TTA) 2017: Monsoons in a Changing Climate | (smr 3170) This TTA will focus on the monsoons in a changing climate. After the release of the IPCC report in 2013 there has been a lot of interest in the projections of the Asian monsoon in the 21st century. The workshop will consist of invited lectures and analysis of projected monsoons by the participants. Background: Since 2004, the ICTP Earth System Physics section has conducted “Targeted Training Activity (TTA),” a specialized educational activity with a team-oriented nature. This team-oriented aspect is aiming to develop groups of scientists who can work together on a specific goal within a developing-country institution. Previous TTAs on the seasonal predictability in tropical regions have been successful to initiate seasonal climate prediction researches and contributed to operational application in the developing countries. During the TTA there will also be a 1.5 day workshop on Climate dynamics of the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau Himalayan climate. Since the Himalayan mountains are a source of water for the many major rivers in Asia, affecting billions of people, there is a lot of interest in the projections of climate in the entire Himalayan region. The Asian Monsoon system is the most powerful monsoon system on our planet and derives from the combined influence of the ocean land distributions and especially the Himalaya mountains and Tibetan Plateau. It is of great socio-economic consequence to more than 16 neighboring countries. The program will discuss atmospheric dynamics, land-sea-air coupling, ecology, river systems, recent ENSO events, and long distance tele coupling of the Asian Monsoon into the entire world system. ICTP ICTP pio@ictp.it 31 Jul 2017 - 4 Aug 2017

Europe/Rome 2017-09-04 08:00:00 2017-09-08 22:00:00 ICTP-Rwanda Joint School on Subseasonal to Seasonal Weather and Climate Prediction | (smr 3140) This school focuses on sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction research and related climate products, as many management decisions in agriculture and food security, water, disaster risk reduction and health fall into this range. There is an urgent need to improve the resiliency of tropical developing countries to climate and weather shocks. Improved subseasonal to seasonal forecasts of rainfall hold the promise of effective early warning systems for floods and droughts, and actionable information for decision makers in agriculture, water management, and public health. Examples include the timing of the onset of rainy seasons, timing on monsoon breaks and active spells, and the probability of high-impact weather events. This school will expose participants from operational centers and universities to a major new initiative to bridge the gap between weather and seasonal climate forecasts; it will train them to access the new multi-model S2S database of subseasonal to seasonal forecasts, and make analyses of forecast skill and predictability mechanisms. • Mechanisms of subseasonal predictability: MJO, atmosphere interactions with land surface and ocean, teleconnections • Modeling in the subseasonal range: initialization, ensemble generation, design of forecast systems • Introduction to the new S2S multi-model database of subseasonal forecasts • Practical training sessions on analysis and skill assessment of ensemble prediction systems in the S2S database for the countries of the participants • Teleconnections and variability Speakers: F. Kucharski (ICTP) A.G. Munoz (AOS/GFDL - Princeton University, USA) B. Safari (University of Rwanda) A. Tompkins (ICTP) As funds are strictly limited, travel grants are only available for applicants based in Africa, with priority given to those from Rwanda. KIgali - Rwanda ICTP pio@ictp.it 4 Sep 2017 - 8 Sep 2017